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Arrived Too Late For The Official Snap

"Two Labour MPs revealed they planned in advance for it be altered. The MPs say that they had organised several different poses, each of which had space for the absent minister. The disclosure will prove highly embarrassing for Mr [James] Purnell who has been highly critical of television channels which have cheated the public. Only two weeks ago, Mr Purnell delivered a keynote speech in which he censured the BBC and other leading broadcasters for jeopardising public trust over fixed phone-in competitions. A spokeswoman for Mr Purnell insisted last night that the minister had believed the hospital's reference to a "merging" of photographs meant that the separate pictures would be displayed alongside each other or would be part of a design in which they slightly overlapped." Riiiiiight.

The Tories have naturally tried to take political mileage out of this incident but it may not affect Gordon's plans for an autumn election. If the media is to be believed, I could have the opportunity to vote for the first time in exactly a month's time! The problem is, I don't know who deserves my vote. I don't think the Humanist Party stands in my constituency. :/ Any suggestions?

Date: 2007-10-01 12:07 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] loganberrybunny.livejournal.com
Hmmm. I don't have any exciting behind-the-scenes knowledge, but I'm still leaning a little against there being an autumn election. I think it's more likely than it was a few weeks ago (maybe up from 80/20 against to 60/40) but I'm basing my feelings on:

1) Unless Brown calls an election by Tuesday, it won't be until after the clocks have gone back. Winter elections tend to depress turnout, and low turnout often hits Labour more than the Tories.

2) Harold Wilson, 1970. He thought he'd win, called an election, and saw his lead melt away.

3) Brown is basing his appeal on not being Tony Blair. He seems to want people to see him as a solid, reliable, unflashy type who doesn't take unnecessary risks. Calling a snap election is just that: risky.

As for who to vote for, I don't know you well enough to know your political views, so I don't have a clue. I hope that was helpful. =:P

Date: 2007-10-01 03:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mcgillianaire.livejournal.com
Very interesting analysis! I was watching Newsnight on Friday and they had two guys with opposite opinions. One was a guy who worked for a polling market research firm and he advised against an election; the other was a former Labour strategist (I think?) and he felt it wasn't a bad time to have an election. I get the impression that the other parties are gearing up for it but like you said, Tuesday is the key. I find it pleasantly amusing you mention the probable impact of a winter election on Labour.

The Newsnight episode mentioned what happened to Harold Wilson but I don't think past performance is a necessarily reliable indicator for future performance. And you're right, calling a snap election is risky (esp for how he wants to be seen). I wonder if the whole talk is just intended to ruffle the Tories into getting their act together and maybe even precipitate a leadership crisis?

As for who I would vote for, noworriesatallmate. I know it'll go to either the LibDems, Greens or the Humanists. Just a matter of finding out who's going to stand and who really deserves my support (which will not just be in the form of a vote but some form of unofficial campaigning). Though given the fact I have a job now it will purely be in my spare time.

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